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Wednesday, January 18, 2006

IRAN WATCH -- '06.02-1

In the last week Iran has broken UN seals on its reactors and is moving forward with its nuclear program. 164 centrifuges at its top-secret Natanz uranium enrichment facility will soon, if not already, begin the work of converting the 1,000 plus tons of uranium "Yellowcake" acquired from Niger and South Africa in the late 90's into enough weapons grade material for five nuclear bombs. Only five. Now, I'm no expert on this, but it's suddenly obvious to me that it takes a great deal of raw material to make just ONE bomb. But one bomb in the hands of a nation like Iran is one bomb too many.

Okay. There's apparently no quarrel with the statement that Iran acquired Yellowcake from Niger [and S. Africa]. Why then is it a stretch to believe that Iraq also "Sought" Yellowcake from one of the same sources? Because that would cast the war-policy of President Bush in a positive light. And Democrats can't have that.

But stepping away from that partisan tone, I think it's more important for America, and the world, to look at the very real probability of a Nuclear Iran. Europe, China, Russia, and the U.S. cannot isolate Iran. Nor can we sit back and hope Tehran plays nice with its new toys, which it will acquire if we do not act, or choose simply to "isolate" Iran.

Obviously, Israel has the most to lose should Iran develop this particular weapons technology-- though I tend to shy away from fear on this issue as I firmly believe Israel cannot be wiped off the map, or pushed into the sea. God is Israel's protector. And the last time I checked, God does not, and cannot lie. It is in fact impossible for God to lie. The real threat lies on the doorstep of the rest of the western world. America and Britain first, and the rest via the threat of nuclear destruction. Iran may find it difficult to lob a missle clear across Europe and the Atlantic to strike the U.S. Mainland, but it's not at all far-fetched to believe Iran might sell their new toys to individuals or groups who would make very good use of them.

Someone please correct me on this if I'm wrong-- I work two jobs and do not have the time to research this, but it seems to me that Hitler himself was never this "vocal", publicly, against the outright destruction of the Jewish people as President Ahmadinejad has been. Were his speeches ever as provocative as Ahmadinejad's? This kind of rhetoric is very dangerous, and too many people think the likes of Hitler could never rise again.

Israel, however, is not without options. Israelis are now confident they can destroy Iran's nuclear capability. But "Destroy" is probably too strong a word. Delay is a better choice. Iran will learn from any such attack, just as they learned from Israel's attack on Iraq's Osiraq facilities-- Iran has built extensively underground. Should Israel succeed in setting Iran back, Iran will only rebuild with far more secrecy, and we may never know they've acquired nuclear weapons till after one or more such weapons explode in America or elsewhere.

I don't believe the U.S. or Israel is at all eager to launch a strike against Iran. Too much is at stake to simply attack, and would all but guarantee a heightened state of enmity between Iran and her
attacker[s].

But when you're faced with a nation, and its leader, who believes it will usher in the Mahdi [remember Frank Herbert's Mahdi? Paul Atreides? And the Golden Path -- Galactic Jihad?.... Sorry for the aside] and their co-opting of the Christian prophesy of Armageddon and the return of Christ, is a compromise even possible? Islam's aim, after all, is to subdue the entire globe; it is their manifest destiny.

A Nuclear Iran is a danger to everyone. Even Turkey, a Muslim nation, albeit secular, has agreed to allow Israeli war planes use of their airspace and bases. Perhaps because Turkey recognizes that radical "Religious" Islam cannot be reasoned with. If it could, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, al Aqsa Martyrs Brigade-- and who knows how many others --would consider peace. And for all their lack of... intellectual savvy... they aren't stupid by a long shot. They fully recognize that Israel's "Great Wall" cannot stop rockets. They are, therefore, not detered.

But peace may as well be a foreign language to radical Islam. It may as well be a foreign language to us all. Just as Compromise and Diplomacy may as well be Greek to Iran.



Iran 'could go nuclear within three years'
US senators say military strike on Iran must be option
West is in dark ages, says Iran's President
Israel's new confidence in attack on Iran nukes
'Israeli fences don't stop rockets'
Documents show Saddam trained terrorists

1 Comments:

Blogger Eric said...

It is exhilarating, isn't it? A mixture of Fear, Uncertainty, and Anticipation all rolled into one.

I do agree; Hashem(?) does protect you, but as you said, that doesn't mean Jews will not die.

May those numbers be very few.

January 19, 2006 8:14 PM  

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